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Used Car Prices Are Finally Falling, But Not Where You'd Expect

Persona #4 · Vol: 0

If you've been holding off on buying a used car, the numbers are finally moving in your favor — just not everywhere.

After three brutal years of pandemic-era price spikes, wholesale used vehicle values have been sliding for months, and some of that relief is now reaching dealership lots.

The catch: the savings aren't evenly distributed, and the model you want may still carry a stubborn premium.

According to Manheim's used vehicle value index, wholesale prices have dropped steadily from their 2022 peak.

That matters because wholesale prices are what dealers pay at auction, and they eventually trickle down to retail stickers.

The lag usually runs 60 to 90 days, so shoppers walking lots this month are seeing discounts that were baked in earlier this year.

The biggest markdowns are landing on mainstream sedans, compact SUVs, and anything that was overproduced during the buying frenzy.

Three-year-old Honda Civics, Toyota Camrys, and Ford Escapes are showing real negotiating room.

Meanwhile, trucks, large SUVs, and anything hybrid or electric are holding value tighter, partly because fuel economy worries and tax credits keep demand hot.

Here's where it gets tricky for your wallet.

Even with prices cooling, the average used car loan rate sits above 11% for used vehicles, according to recent industry data.

That means a $22,000 used car financed over 60 months can cost you thousands more in interest than it would have three years ago.

A lower sticker price doesn't automatically mean a lower monthly payment.

Start by getting preapproved at a credit union before you set foot on a lot — their used-auto rates often beat dealer financing by a full point or more.

Midsize sedans and base-trim crossovers are where inventory is piling up and dealers are more willing to deal.

Finally, ask for the out-the-door price in writing before you discuss monthly payments.

Dealers love to stretch loan terms to hide a high price behind a low-sounding payment.

If you're trading in, timing matters too.

Your current car is probably still worth more than it was pre-2020, so a trade can offset some of the sting.

But get quotes from at least two online buyers — Carvana, CarMax, and local dealers — because offers can vary by thousands for the same vehicle.

One more thing worth watching: repo activity has climbed as pandemic-era loans go bad.

That's pushing more late-model vehicles back into the auction pipeline, which should keep downward pressure on prices through the rest of the year.

For patient buyers, that's good news. **Our take:** The used car market is finally tilting toward buyers, but the win only shows up if you attack the interest rate as hard as the sticker price.

Do the preapproval, target the glutted models, and walk away from any deal that needs a 72-month loan to feel affordable.

Final Thoughts

Patience is the cheapest option on the lot.

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