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Existing Home Sales Just Did Something Buyers Haven't Seen in Years

Persona #2 · Vol: 0

The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales climbed 3.4% in March compared with the prior month, hitting a seasonally adjusted annual rate of roughly 4 million.

That's still below the pace of the boom years, but it's the kind of steady improvement that makes listing agents breathe easier.

More importantly, it signals that buyers and sellers are finally agreeing on what a house is worth again.

Inventory has been creeping up in many markets, and in some metros buyers now have more than three months' worth of homes to choose from.

When inventory crosses that threshold, the dynamic flips: sellers start fixing the little stuff, and buyers stop waiving inspections just to win a bidding war.

If you've been sitting out because every open house felt like a feeding frenzy, spring 2025 looks different.

Prices are still high, just less frantic.

The median existing-home price sits near $400,000 nationally, up modestly from a year ago.

But the pace of increases has cooled, and in a handful of Sun Belt markets that got overheated during the pandemic, prices have actually dipped.

That doesn't mean homes are cheap — it means the days of offering $50,000 over asking and still losing are mostly behind us in many areas.

Rates have been bouncing around the low-to-mid 6% range, and every time they tick down a quarter point, traffic at open houses jumps.

If you're shopping, get pre-approved now and ask your lender about a float-down option, which lets you lock in a lower rate if the market improves before closing.

That one phone call can save you thousands over the life of the loan.

Sellers, meanwhile, need to adjust expectations.

Homes that are priced right are still moving in days, but overpriced listings are sitting for weeks and then getting cut.

If you bought in 2021 at a 3% rate, do the math carefully before listing — trading that mortgage for a 6.5% loan on a slightly bigger house can add hundreds to your monthly payment.

For first-time buyers, the practical moves haven't changed much.

Save for a bigger down payment to shrink the monthly hit, look at assumable loans (some FHA and VA mortgages can be taken over by a new buyer at the seller's old rate), and don't sleep on new construction — builders are still offering rate buydowns and closing-cost credits to move inventory.

Ask specifically; they rarely advertise the best incentives.

One more thing worth watching: the "lock-in effect" is starting to crack.

More homeowners are listing because they've hit major life changes — a new job, a growing family, a divorce — and they can't wait forever for rates to fall.

That's slowly freeing up the starter homes that have been missing from the market for three years, which is exactly what buyers at the entry level need most.

This isn't a crash and it isn't a return to 2021.

It's a market that's slowly getting more normal, and normal is good news if you've been priced out or outbid.

Get your financing in order, know your true budget including taxes and insurance, and shop with patience instead of panic.

Our take: the headlines about a "frozen" housing market have been overstated for a while.

Deals are happening, especially for prepared buyers with realistic expectations, and the small uptick in listings is the most encouraging trend in years.

Final Thoughts

If you've been waiting for a sign that it's safe to start looking again, this is a reasonable one — just don't expect a bargain bin.

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