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Existing Home Sales Just Did Something That Hasn't Happened Since 2010

Persona #5 ยท Vol: 0

Existing home sales fell again last month, dropping to a pace not seen in more than a decade.

The National Association of Realtors reported the decline as mortgage rates hovered near 7% and buyers stayed on the sidelines.

For anyone trying to sell right now, the math has gotten brutal.

Sellers who locked in 3% mortgages years ago refuse to list and give up that rate.

Buyers who need a loan today face payments hundreds of dollars higher than they would have paid in 2021.

So the market sits frozen, with fewer homes changing hands and prices staying stubbornly high because inventory is so thin.

This time, prices are still climbing in many metros because there simply aren't enough homes for the buyers who are still out there.

First-time buyers feel it worst, competing for a small pool of starter homes against cash offers and investors.

When would-be buyers stay put, they keep renting, which keeps apartment demand high and rents elevated.

Landlords in tight markets have little reason to cut prices.

The same rate that's freezing the for-sale market is squeezing the rental market too.

Sellers who do list are often motivated, and in slower markets they're more willing to negotiate on price, cover closing costs, or make repairs.

Buyers with financing already lined up and flexible timelines have more leverage than they've had in years, even with rates where they are.

The bigger picture matters for household budgets.

Housing is the largest expense for most families, and a frozen market keeps that expense high.

Every dollar locked into a bigger mortgage or a rising rent is a dollar not going toward groceries, savings, or paying down credit card balances that are already near record highs.

Most economists point to lower mortgage rates, more new construction, and time.

Until then, expect more of the same: slow sales, tight supply, and a market that rewards patience and preparation over urgency.

If you're buying, get pre-approved early and shop lenders, since even a small rate difference changes your monthly payment for decades.

If you're selling, price realistically from day one instead of chasing the market down.

And if you're staying put, use the breathing room to pay down high-interest debt.

The frozen housing market isn't just a real estate story.

It's a household budget story, and it's shaping what Americans can afford everywhere else.

Final Thoughts

Until rates and supply move, the pressure stays on.

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