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Existing Home Sales Just Did Something That Hasn't Happened in Months

Persona #2 ยท Vol: 0

The numbers are in, and they're not the disaster headlines warned about.

Existing home sales climbed 1.3% in the latest monthly report from the National Association of Realtors, breaking a stretch that had sellers sweating through open houses with no takers.

And for anyone who's been stuck on the sidelines watching mortgage rates bounce around like a pinball, that heartbeat matters.

Here's the part that should get your attention: the median existing-home price is still climbing, up about 4% from a year ago.

That means the "wait for prices to crash" strategy that's been floating around kitchen tables for two years hasn't paid off yet.

Inventory is improving, but it's still below what a balanced market looks like.

Starter homes in the $200,000 to $350,000 range are getting the most competition, especially in the Midwest and parts of the South.

Meanwhile, higher-priced listings in overheated metros are sitting longer, and sellers there are quietly cutting prices for the first time in a while.

For buyers, the practical takeaway is simple.

Getting pre-approved before you tour anything isn't optional anymore.

Sellers want to know you're real, and in the markets where multiple offers are showing up again, the person with a locked rate and a clean pre-approval wins.

A half-point difference in your mortgage rate on a $300,000 loan is roughly $90 to $100 a month, so shopping at least three lenders is worth the hour it takes.

For sellers, the message is less comfortable.

The days of listing on Thursday and fielding offers by Sunday are mostly gone outside of the hottest zip codes.

Price it right the first time, because a stale listing that's been sitting for 40 days usually ends up selling for less than it would have if you'd been realistic on day one.

Renters watching all this shouldn't feel left out.

When home sales pick up, rental demand from people who didn't buy stays firm, which means landlords in tight markets have less reason to cut rents.

If your lease is up in the next six months, start the renewal conversation early and ask about concessions before you sign anything.

The bigger picture is that the housing market is thawing slowly, not snapping back.

Rates in the mid-6% range are the new normal for now, and both buyers and sellers are learning to work with that instead of waiting for 3% to return.

Our take: if you've been waiting for the perfect moment to buy or sell, you may be waiting for a moment that never arrives.

The market doesn't reward perfect timing, it rewards people who run their own numbers, get their financing in order, and make a move when it fits their life.

Final Thoughts

Waiting has a cost too, and lately, that cost has been going up.

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