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The Housing Market Just Flipped in Buyers' Favor for the First Time

Persona #4 · Vol: 0

For the past four years, house hunters have been stuck in a brutal cycle: too few listings, bidding wars, and offers flying in above asking price within hours.

Inventory across the U.S. is climbing back toward pre-pandemic norms, and in some metros, it's already there.

According to data tracked by Realtor.com and Redfin, active listings nationwide have been running well above year-ago levels for months.

In parts of Texas, Florida, and the Mountain West, the jump is dramatic — some markets are seeing 30% to 50% more homes for sale than they did a year ago.

Builders have also been adding new construction at a steady clip, especially in the South.

Homes are sitting on the market longer, and price cuts are becoming routine rather than rare.

In Austin, Phoenix, and Nashville — boomtowns that saw explosive price growth in 2021 and 2022 — sellers are increasingly negotiating, covering closing costs, or trimming asking prices to get deals done.

With 30-year fixed rates hovering in the mid-6% range, many buyers who locked in sub-4% rates during the pandemic are staying put.

But life events — job relocations, growing families, retirements — are forcing enough of them to sell that inventory keeps building.

Meanwhile, investors who snapped up rentals during the low-rate era are pulling back.

That's adding supply to the market, particularly in Sun Belt cities where investor activity was heaviest.

You no longer need to waive inspections or offer $50,000 over asking just to be taken seriously in many markets.

That said, rates still sting — a $400,000 loan at 6.5% costs roughly $800 more per month than the same loan at 3%.

Sellers, on the other hand, need to reset expectations.

The days of listing on Thursday and closing above ask by Monday are largely over in most of the country.

The takeaway: this is a market in transition, not a crash.

Inventory is healing, but it's uneven — the Midwest and Northeast remain tighter than the South and West.

If you've been priced out or sidelined for years, it's worth running the numbers again.

Just don't expect a return to 2020-era prices or 3% rates anytime soon.

Our take: The housing market is finally acting like a normal market again, and that's good news for anyone who felt trapped on the sidelines.

Final Thoughts

Buyers have leverage they haven't had since 2019 — use it, but stay realistic about what that leverage is actually worth in your specific zip code.

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