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Housing Inventory Just Hit a Four-Year High, and Buyers Are Suddenly

Persona #4 ยท Vol: 0

For the first time since 2020, buyers in much of the country can take a breath.

Active listings climbed to roughly 1.1 million homes this spring, up about 20% from a year ago, according to Realtor.com data.

In some Sun Belt metros, inventory is up 40% or more.

That swing matters because it reverses the scarcest-housing-market story Americans heard for four straight years.

During the pandemic buying boom, buyers waived inspections, paid six figures over asking, and lost bidding wars on homes they never set foot in.

Today, a growing share of sellers are cutting prices instead.

Markets that boomed hardest, including Austin, Nashville, Phoenix, and parts of Florida, now have the most breathing room.

Meanwhile, inventory in the Northeast and Midwest remains tight, which is why a buyer in Buffalo and a buyer in Tampa are living in two different housing economies.

More supply of single-family rentals and build-to-rent communities has softened rent growth in several metros, though not enough to undo the past four years of increases.

Landlords in oversupplied areas are quietly offering a free month or waiving application fees, something almost unheard of in 2022.

Mortgage rates near 6.5% are doing most of the work here.

A buyer who locked at 7.5% two years ago faced a monthly payment hundreds of dollars higher than the same house would cost today.

That math pulled some sidelined buyers back in, but it also trapped existing owners with 3% mortgages who refuse to sell and give up that rate.

Insurance is the wild card nobody priced in.

Premiums in Florida, Texas, Louisiana, and parts of California have jumped so sharply that some listings sit unsold even after two price cuts.

A house can be affordable on paper and still be uninsurable in practice, and that gap is starting to show up in closing delays.

What should you actually do with this information?

If you are shopping, get pre-approved before you tour, because sellers are no longer entertaining offers without proof of funds.

Ask for closing cost credits instead of just a lower price, since credits preserve your loan-to-value ratio.

And if you are selling, price to the last comparable sale, not to your neighbor's list price from 2022.

The honest takeaway is that this is a normalizing market, not a crashing one.

Inventory is healing because builders kept building and higher rates cooled demand, not because homeowners are dumping properties in panic.

Final Thoughts

For anyone who spent the last few years losing bids by $50,000, a little more choice and a little less frenzy is a genuine improvement.

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