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New Home Sales Are Slowing, and Buyers Just Got More Leverage

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New home sales cooled off last month, and for anyone who has been priced out of the housing market for the past few years, that is not necessarily bad news.

Builders are sitting on more finished homes than they were a year ago, and some are getting nervous about it.

When builders get nervous, they start cutting prices, offering rate buy-downs, and throwing in upgrades that used to cost extra.

The shift comes after a stretch where new construction was one of the only games in town.

Existing homeowners with cheap mortgages from 2020 and 2021 simply stopped selling, which pushed buyers toward newly built homes.

Builders filled that gap, and many of them got comfortable raising prices because they had little competition.

That comfort level is now fading as inventory builds up.

A builder with a completed house that has been sitting for 90 days is paying taxes, insurance, and interest on it every single day.

That is a losing position, and it is why you will see incentives appear on specific lots rather than across an entire community.

The model home with the fancy staging might still be full price.

The one at the end of the street that backs up to a busy road is where the deals live.

If you are shopping, ask directly what incentives are available on homes that are already finished, sometimes called quick move-in or inventory homes.

Ask whether the builder will pay points to lower your rate, and ask for that in writing with the exact cost.

A rate buy-down can save you real money each month, but it is only worth it if you plan to stay long enough to break even on the upfront cost.

Do not assume the sticker price is the final word.

Builders would often rather discount a home quietly than advertise a price cut and upset everyone who bought nearby last year.

That means the listed price online may not reflect what they will actually accept.

It costs you nothing to make an offer below asking on a completed home that has been listed for a while.

Get your own inspection even on new construction.

New does not mean flawless, and builder warranties vary widely in what they actually cover.

Read the fine print on what happens if the closing gets delayed, and keep an emergency fund separate from your down payment, because new homes often come with landscaping, blinds, and appliance costs that are not in the base price.

In many areas, the first year's taxes are based on the land value only, then jump once the home is assessed.

Ask the builder or your agent for an estimate of the fully assessed tax amount, and make sure your monthly budget can handle that higher number.

A payment that fits today can feel very different two years from now.

The bottom line is that the balance of power has tilted slightly back toward buyers, at least in markets where builders have plenty of finished inventory.

That window tends to close when demand picks back up, so if you have been waiting on the sidelines, it is worth at least making a few calls and seeing what is actually negotiable.

Final Thoughts

The list price is a starting point, not a verdict.

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