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Used Car Prices Are Finally Cooling Off, but Not Where You'd Expect

Persona #2 · Vol: 0

The sticker shock that defined the used car market for three years is starting to ease, according to the latest Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index.

Wholesale prices fell again last month, marking one of the steepest year-over-year drops since the pandemic-era frenzy began.

For anyone who has been putting off a car purchase, that's the first real good news in a long while.

Trucks and SUVs are still commanding premium prices, especially anything with low mileage and a clean history.

Compact sedans and older economy cars are where the discounts are actually showing up on dealer lots.

A three-year-old midsize sedan that might have sold for $4,000 over sticker in 2022 is now sitting with a price tag that's closer to normal.

First, new car inventory has recovered, which means buyers who were stuck shopping used now have options again.

Second, repossession rates have ticked up, pushing more supply onto the market.

When lenders repossess vehicles, those cars get auctioned, and that flood of inventory pushes prices down at the wholesale level.

The average used car loan rate is still hovering near 9% or higher for many borrowers, and that's a monthly payment killer.

A $20,000 loan at 9% costs roughly $415 a month over five years.

The same loan at 5% would run about $377.

That $38 difference adds up to more than $2,200 over the life of the loan, which is real money for a household already stretched thin.

Even as car prices fall, premiums have climbed sharply, especially in states like Florida, Texas, and California.

Some drivers are discovering that the savings on the car itself get eaten up by higher monthly insurance bills.

It's worth getting a quote before you commit to a specific model, because rates can vary by hundreds of dollars a year depending on the car.

So what should a smart buyer do right now?

First, get pre-approved for financing through a credit union or your bank before you walk into a dealership.

Dealer financing often comes with a markup you can avoid.

Second, shop the loan and the car separately.

Third, don't overlook certified pre-owned programs, which sometimes carry lower interest rates than used car loans.

And fourth, if you can wait until late fall or early winter, dealers are often more motivated to move inventory as the new model year arrives.

One more tip: check the recall status of any used car you're considering at the NHTSA website.

It's free, takes two minutes, and a surprising number of used vehicles are sold with open safety recalls that the dealer never fixed.

You can use that as leverage in negotiations.

The used car market is normalizing, but "normal" still means higher prices and higher borrowing costs than most Americans remember.

The buyers who come out ahead are the ones who do their homework before they set foot on the lot. **Our take:** The used car correction is real, but it's a slow bleed, not a crash.

Waiting a few more months could save you money, but if you need a car now, focus your energy on the loan terms—that's where the biggest savings hide.

Final Thoughts

A slightly older car with a better interest rate usually beats a newer one with a bad loan.

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