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Rent Prices Are Falling in These Cities for the First Time in Years

Persona #2 ยท Vol: 0

After three brutal years of rent hikes, something unusual is happening in a handful of American cities: landlords are cutting prices.

According to recent data from Apartment List, national rent growth has essentially flatlined, and in several metros, asking rents are actually lower than they were a year ago.

Austin, Texas, leads the pack with double-digit declines.

Phoenix, Las Vegas, and even parts of the Bay Area are seeing similar pullbacks.

During the pandemic, developers raced to build apartments, and a record number of new units are now hitting the market at the same time.

Meanwhile, high rents pushed many renters to double up with roommates, move back home, or leave expensive cities altogether.

More empty units mean landlords have to compete for tenants โ€” and that means concessions.

Those concessions are often not advertised as rent cuts.

Instead, you'll see one or two months free, waived application fees, or reduced security deposits.

On a $1,600 apartment, two months free works out to roughly $133 in monthly savings spread across a year.

That's real money, but you have to ask for it.

Leasing offices rarely volunteer the best deal upfront.

The national average rent still sits around $1,400 to $1,500, depending on the data source you use, and that's roughly 30 percent higher than it was in 2019.

So this isn't a return to cheap housing โ€” it's a pause.

In tight markets like New York, Boston, and Chicago, rents are still climbing, just more slowly.

The relief is concentrated in the Sun Belt cities that built the most.

If you're renewing a lease this year, this shift gives you leverage you didn't have in 2022.

Pull comparable listings in your area, screenshot the prices, and ask your landlord to match or beat them.

If they won't budge on rent, ask for a free month, a parking spot, or a waived pet fee instead.

Getting a written offer from a competing complex can strengthen your case considerably.

Moving is expensive, so run the math before you jump.

First month's rent, a deposit, movers, and utility hookups can easily top $2,000.

A $100 monthly savings takes nearly two years to pay that back.

But if your rent is rising and a nearby complex is offering two months free, the math can flip fast.

The bigger picture is that builders may slow down if prices keep softening.

Construction starts have already dipped, which means today's concessions could dry up in a year or two once the new supply gets absorbed.

Renters who lock in a good rate now may look smart later.

Our take: this is the best window renters have had since 2020, but it's a window, not a new normal.

If your lease is up in the next six months, start collecting comps now and negotiate like you mean it.

Final Thoughts

The worst your landlord can say is no โ€” and in this market, more of them are saying yes.

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