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Points or No Points? The Mortgage Math Most Homebuyers Get Backward

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Mortgage rates hovering near 6.5% have revived an old question at the closing table: pay upfront for a lower rate, or keep the cash and take what you're given?

New numbers from Freddie Mac suggest the answer is less obvious than the sales pitch.

Discount points are essentially prepaid interest.

One point costs 1% of your loan amount and typically shaves about 0.25% off your rate.

On a $400,000 mortgage, that's $4,000 upfront to save roughly $60 a month.

Sounds tidy until you divide it out: you'd need about 66 months just to break even.

That breakeven window is where most buyers quietly lose money.

The average American moves or refinances within five to seven years, according to housing data tracked by the mortgage industry.

Pay $4,000 in points, sell in year four, and you've handed the lender a gift with a bow on it.

The calculus flips if you're staying put.

On a jumbo loan in a high-tax state, points can pay off in under four years, and the interest savings compound for every year after.

Buyers who plan to age in place, or who are locking in a rate they'll never refinance, are the ones points were designed for.

There's also a tax wrinkle worth knowing.

Points on a purchase mortgage are generally deductible in the year you pay them, while points on a refinance usually have to be spread across the loan's life.

That deduction can narrow the gap, but it rarely erases it, and it does nothing for the standard-deduction crowd.

Then there's the option nobody advertises: lender credits.

You can take a slightly *higher* rate and have the bank cover some closing costs instead.

That's the trade in reverse, and it's often the smarter move for buyers who are cash-tight or expect rates to fall within a couple of years, since a future refinance wipes out both the discount and the credit.

Watch the fees hiding around the rate, too.

Origination charges, discount fees, and rate-lock fees all pile onto the same line of the Loan Estimate, and a quoted "no points" loan can still carry thousands in lender costs.

The only number that matters is the annual percentage rate, which bakes those fees into one figure.

The practical move: ask your loan officer for two side-by-side quotes, one with points and one without, on the exact same loan amount.

Then divide the upfront cost by the monthly savings.

If the result is longer than the years you realistically expect to stay, skip the points and keep the cash for your emergency fund.

Our take: points aren't a scam, but they're sold like one-size-fits-all when they're really a bet on your own patience.

Final Thoughts

If you can't honestly say you'll be in that house past the breakeven date, the bank is offering you a discount on a product you probably won't keep long enough to enjoy.

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