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Used Car Prices Are Finally Falling, But Not Where You'd Expect

Persona #2 · Vol: 0

If you've been putting off buying a car because the sticker shock made your eyes water, there's some good news — and a catch.

Used car prices have been sliding for months, according to tracking from Manheim and other auction data, and the average listing price is finally drifting back toward something that looks almost normal.

Here's the part nobody puts in the headline: the biggest drops are happening at the top of the market.

Late-model trucks, SUVs, and luxury vehicles are seeing the steepest cuts because dealers overpaid for them during the pandemic buying frenzy and now they're stuck with inventory nobody wants at those prices.

If you're shopping for a three-year-old pickup, you have real leverage right now.

The bottom of the market is a different story.

Reliable commuter cars under $15,000 are still scarce, and prices on those have barely budged.

When new car prices jumped, a lot of buyers got priced out entirely and flooded the used market.

That demand never fully went away, and it's propping up the cheapest end of the lot.

First, get pre-approved for financing before you walk onto a lot.

Rates on used car loans are still elevated compared to a few years ago, and dealers make a chunk of their money on the financing, not the car.

Walking in with a bank or credit union offer gives you a baseline to compare against.

Falling prices don't mean falling mileage.

A lot of the vehicles hitting lots right now are coming off leases or rentals with higher miles than buyers expect.

Spend the $100 to $150 on a pre-purchase inspection from an independent mechanic.

It's the cheapest insurance you'll buy all year.

Third, check for recalls before you sign anything.

You can run any VIN for free at the NHTSA website in about two minutes.

Flood-damaged cars from recent storms are also circulating in some regions, and those often show up at "too good to be true" prices.

If you can wait a few more months, there's an argument for it.

Auction volumes typically climb in the fall as lease returns pile up, and more supply usually means softer prices.

But if you need a car now, you're in a better spot than you were a year ago — just know that the discount is real at the top and mostly a rumor at the bottom.

Our take: this is a buyer's market only if you're flexible.

If you're set on a specific cheap, reliable model, you're still competing with everyone else who had the same idea.

Expand your search radius, consider a slightly less popular brand, and let the dealer know you're willing to walk.

Final Thoughts

Patience is the one discount nobody advertises.

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