← Back to BillCut Daily

Existing Home Sales Just Hit a 5-Month High, but Buyers Are Still

Persona #4 · Vol: 0

Existing home sales climbed to a five-month high in the latest reading, according to the National Association of Realtors, a sign that buyers are slowly wading back into a market that spent most of the past two years frozen solid.

The annualized pace rose to roughly 4.1 million homes, up from the near-30-year lows seen earlier this year.

Sales are still running below where they sat before the pandemic buying frenzy, and the improvement is coming off such a weak base that even a modest uptick looks dramatic on a chart.

The real story is what's happening with prices and inventory.

The median existing-home price is still higher than it was a year ago in most regions, and total housing stock remains tight by historical standards.

That combination keeps the market tilted toward sellers in many metro areas, even as buyers regain a bit of leverage on inspection requests and closing costs.

After spiking above 7% and cooling toward the mid-6% range, rates have bounced around enough to make timing feel impossible.

A buyer who locked in last spring may be paying hundreds more per month than someone signing today — and that gap is quietly reshaping who can afford to move.

For first-time buyers, the math is still ugly.

Starter homes are the scarcest slice of the market, and investors with cash offers keep winning bidding wars in affordable neighborhoods.

That's pushing many younger buyers toward condos, townhomes, or longer commutes into cheaper ZIP codes.

Sellers, meanwhile, are facing a reality check of their own.

The days of listing on Thursday and fielding five offers by Sunday are largely gone in most markets.

Homes that are overpriced are sitting, price cuts are more common, and buyers are negotiating again — asking for repairs, rate buy-downs, and closing-cost credits that would have been laughed off two years ago.

If you're shopping right now, a few practical moves matter more than headlines.

Get pre-approved before you tour anything, so you know your true monthly number including taxes and insurance.

Ask your lender about adjustable-rate options and buy-downs, but run the math on what happens when the fixed period ends.

And don't skip the inspection, even in a competitive market — the deals that blow up later almost always started with waived contingencies.

If you already own a home with a low rate, the "lock-in effect" is real: trading a 3% mortgage for a 6.5% one can add serious money to your monthly payment.

Run the numbers before assuming a move is out of reach, but go in with clear eyes about the trade-off.

The takeaway from this sales bump isn't that the housing market is fixed.

It's that buyers and sellers are both tired of waiting and are starting to meet in the middle — slowly, grudgingly, and with far more negotiation than the last few years allowed.

For anyone with a stable job, savings for a down payment, and patience, conditions are quietly improving.

Final Thoughts

Just don't expect a bargain to fall in your lap.

Continue Reading