← Back to BillCut Daily

The Mortgage Point Nobody Wants to Do the Math On

Persona #3 · Vol: 0

Two lenders can quote you the identical interest rate on the same day, and one borrower walks away thousands of dollars ahead.

The difference usually comes down to a single line buried in the loan estimate: discount points.

A discount point costs 1% of your loan amount and buys down your rate, typically by about 0.25%.

On a $400,000 mortgage, one point runs $4,000.

Buy two points and you have handed the lender $8,000 at closing for a rate that looks meaningfully better on paper.

Here is where the sales pitch gets slippery.

Lenders love to frame points as an investment, but the math only works if you stay in the home long enough to break even.

That break-even point is your upfront cost divided by your monthly savings.

Spend $8,000 to shave $150 off your payment, and you need roughly 53 months just to get your own money back.

Most homeowners do not stay put that long.

The average American sells or refinances within about seven to ten years, and life has a way of rearranging those plans.

A job offer across the country, a growing family, a divorce, or a refinance when rates drop can all wipe out the benefit before it ever arrives.

You paid real cash today for a benefit that may never fully land.

The people who reliably win with points are the ones who never needed the pitch.

If you are certain you will hold the loan for a decade or more, plan to keep the home, and have cash sitting idle, buying down the rate can make sense.

Even then, compare the return against simply putting that money toward the down payment or keeping it in an emergency fund.

There is also a quieter trap: points are not always refundable.

Some lenders will credit part of them back if you refinance with the same company, but that is not a guarantee, and it locks you into shopping a single lender later.

Read the fine print on whether points are refundable, and ask directly what happens if you refinance in two years.

Sellers can pay points on your behalf as part of a negotiation, which flips the calculus entirely.

If someone else is funding the buy-down, the break-even math stops being your problem.

That is one of the few scenarios where points are close to a free lunch, so it is worth asking for in a slow market.

The simplest move is to request two loan estimates from competing lenders: one with points, one without, on the exact same loan amount and term.

Then divide the extra closing cost by the monthly difference and see how many years the answer gives you.

If that number exceeds how long you honestly expect to keep the loan, you have your answer.

My take: points are a bet on your own future, and the house always knows more about your plans than you do.

Unless you are certain you are staying put for the long haul, or someone else is paying, keep the cash and take the higher rate.

Final Thoughts

Flexibility is worth more than a slightly prettier payment.

Continue Reading