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Used Car Prices Just Did Something They Haven't Done in Years

Persona #4 · Vol: 0

Used car prices are falling, and for once the news isn't buried under a headline about eggs or rent.

According to the latest Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index, wholesale prices dropped again in recent months, continuing a slow slide that has been building since the pandemic-era spike.

For anyone who has been putting off a car purchase because of sticker shock, this is the first real opening in years.

The numbers tell a story of gradual relief rather than a crash.

Wholesale prices are down roughly 4% to 5% from a year ago, and retail lots are starting to feel it.

Dealers who spent 2021 and 2022 paying absurd prices at auction are now sitting on inventory they need to move.

That shift gives buyers leverage that simply didn't exist when a three-year-old sedan was selling above its original MSRP.

New car incentives are part of the squeeze.

Automakers have been quietly ramping up financing deals and cash-back offers as inventory recovers, which pulls some shoppers away from the used market.

When a new car comes with 1.9% financing, a used car at 9% suddenly looks a lot less appealing.

That pressure is forcing used dealers to sharpen their prices.

As pandemic-era stimulus savings dried up and auto loan delinquencies ticked up, more vehicles have been flowing back into the auction pipeline.

Those cars tend to be newer and in decent shape, which means more choices in the sweet spot where most families shop.

We are still well above pre-pandemic norms, and the average used car loan rate sits near 9% for many borrowers.

A lower sticker price can still mean a higher monthly payment if your credit isn't stellar.

Run the numbers on total cost, not just the price on the windshield.

Some categories are softening faster than others.

Electric vehicles, in particular, have taken a hit on resale value as new EV prices drop and lease deals get aggressive.

If you're shopping used and open to electric, there may be genuine bargains hiding in plain sight.

On the flip side, reliable compact SUVs and trucks remain stubbornly expensive because everyone wants them.

Late model year and the final weeks of a quarter are historically when dealers get hungry to hit volume targets.

Getting pre-approved through a credit union before you walk onto a lot gives you a rate baseline and turns the financing conversation into a negotiation rather than a surrender.

Prices are moving in your favor for the first time in years, but the savings are gradual, not dramatic.

If you can wait a few months and shop patiently, you'll likely do better than you would have last spring.

If you need a car now, negotiate hard, get your own financing, and walk away from any deal that smells like 2021.

Our take: this is a buyer's market forming, not a fire sale.

The smart move is to treat the softening prices as negotiating ammunition rather than a reason to rush.

Final Thoughts

Patience, pre-approval, and a willingness to leave the lot will save you more than any headline number ever will.

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