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Existing Home Sales Just Did Something That Hasn't Happened in Months

Persona #2 · Vol: 0

The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales rose 1.3% in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.26 million.

That's the strongest pace since December, and it breaks a stretch of sluggish winter numbers that had sellers nervous.

It's not a boom by any stretch, but after two years of near-frozen activity, any uptick gets attention.

The surprise isn't really the sales number.

There are now about 1.24 million homes for sale nationwide, up roughly 17% from a year ago.

More listings mean more choices, and more choices mean buyers finally have something they haven't had in ages: a little leverage at the negotiating table.

Prices are still climbing, but at a gentler clip.

The median existing-home price hit $398,400, up 3.8% from last February.

That's a normal-ish appreciation rate compared to the double-digit jumps of 2021 and 2022.

For anyone who sat out the market waiting for prices to fall, the data suggests the crash isn't coming — the market is just getting less frantic.

The average 30-year fixed rate has been bouncing between roughly 6.5% and 7% for months, and every dip below 7% tends to pull buyers off the sidelines.

A buyer putting 20% down on a $400,000 home at 6.75% faces a principal-and-interest payment near $2,075 a month.

At 7.25%, that same loan costs about $75 more.

First-time buyers are still having the hardest time.

They made up only about 31% of sales in February, well below the historical norm near 40%.

Student debt, rent that eats 30% or more of a paycheck, and down payment hurdles keep many of them renting longer.

Meanwhile, cash buyers and repeat buyers with equity are the ones actually closing deals.

Regionally, the South and Midwest led the gain, while the Northeast and West were roughly flat.

That pattern tracks with where incomes stretch further — a $400,000 house in the Midwest is a very different home than a $400,000 condo in coastal California.

So what should you actually do with this information?

If you're selling, more competition means pricing realistically matters more than ever; overpriced listings are sitting.

If you're buying, get pre-approved before you shop, and don't assume you have to accept the first rate your lender quotes — shopping two or three lenders can save real money over the life of the loan.

And if you're just watching, remember that a 1.3% monthly move is not a trend.

The housing market isn't healed, and it isn't broken.

It's thawing slowly, which is probably the healthiest thing that could happen after years of whiplash.

Final Thoughts

Patience and preparation will beat panic every time.

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