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Points or No Points on a Mortgage? The Math Most Buyers Get Wrong

Persona #2 · Vol: 0

Mortgage rates hovering near 6.5% have buyers hunting for any way to shave the monthly payment, and lenders are pitching "discount points" hard.

Here's the catch: paying upfront for a lower rate only pays off if you stay in the home long enough.

A discount point costs 1% of your loan amount and typically cuts the rate by about 0.25%.

On a $400,000 mortgage, that's $4,000 upfront to drop from, say, 6.5% to 6.25%.

Your monthly principal and interest falls roughly $65.

Divide $4,000 by $65 and you get a break-even point of about 61 months — a little over five years.

The average American homeowner now stays in a home for roughly 8 to 10 years, according to housing industry data, which suggests points can work out.

First-time buyers often move sooner than they expect — a job offer, a growing family, a refinance when rates drop.

If you sell or refinance in year three, you handed the lender thousands of dollars for nothing.

There's also the opportunity cost nobody mentions at the closing table.

That $4,000 could pay down the principal, cover moving costs, or sit in a high-yield savings account earning around 4%.

Lenders rarely show you that comparison, because points are pure profit if you leave early.

The break-even math gets worse when rates fall.

If mortgage rates slip to 5.5% in two years, you'd likely refinance and your expensive points vanish with the old loan.

Paying points is essentially a bet that rates stay high and you stay put.

Plenty of buyers made that bet in 2023 and refinanced within 18 months.

If you're putting down roots — a forever home, a fixed-rate loan you plan to keep for a decade — buying points can lock in meaningful savings, especially if the seller or builder is covering them as a concession.

That last part matters: seller-paid points are free money to you, and you should always ask for them before writing your own check.

If you're stretching to afford the down payment, skip the points entirely and keep the cash.

A slightly higher rate with a healthy emergency fund beats a lower rate and a drained bank account.

Lenders will happily let you buy the rate down; they won't bail you out when the water heater dies in month four.

One more tool worth knowing: a temporary buydown, where the seller funds lower payments for the first one or two years.

It softens the early pinch without locking you into a permanent upfront cost.

Ask your loan officer to price both options side by side, in writing, before you commit.

The honest takeaway: points are not a scam, but they're also not a no-brainer.

Run your own break-even number, assume you'll move sooner than you think, and only pay upfront for a rate you're confident you'll keep.

Final Thoughts

In a market this expensive, keeping cash flexible is often worth more than a prettier rate.

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