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Housing Inventory Is Finally Rising in These Cities, but Buyers

Persona #5 · Vol: 0

After nearly three years of bidding wars, waived inspections, and offers flying in before the weekend, something unusual is happening in parts of the U.S. housing market: homes are sitting.

Inventory is climbing in a growing number of metro areas, and in some ZIP codes, sellers are cutting prices for the first time since 2022.

The shift isn't dramatic, and it isn't everywhere.

According to Realtor.com's latest monthly data, active listings have been running above year-ago levels for months, with the biggest jumps showing up in the South and Mountain West — places like Austin, San Antonio, Denver, and Phoenix, where pandemic-era migration has cooled and new construction kept going.

Sellers who locked in 3% mortgages a few years ago are finally listing anyway, often because of a job move, a divorce, or a retirement that can't wait for rates to fall.

At the same time, buyers are balking at monthly payments that still look brutal compared to 2021.

A $400,000 loan at today's rates costs roughly $700 more per month than it did at 3%, and that math hasn't gotten easier just because inventory improved.

For buyers, more choice sounds like leverage.

In markets where inventory is climbing fastest, sellers are often still anchored to last spring's prices.

The result is a standoff: homes linger on the market, price cuts become more common, but the deep discounts some buyers expected haven't fully materialized.

In many cases, sellers would rather delist and rent than accept what they see as a lowball offer.

Renters are watching this closely, and not just out of curiosity.

More inventory and slower price growth in for-sale housing can eventually bleed into the rental market, especially in Sun Belt cities where a wave of new apartment supply has already pushed rents down in some submarkets.

It's not a straight line, but when would-be buyers stay put longer, landlords lose pricing power too.

There's another wrinkle: insurance and property taxes.

In Florida, Texas, and parts of California, rising insurance premiums and reassessments have quietly added hundreds of dollars to monthly housing costs.

Buyers comparing a 2021 listing price to today's payment may be underestimating how much those carrying costs have grown.

That's one reason some markets with rising inventory still feel unaffordable.

So what should you actually do with this information?

If you're shopping, get pre-approved before you tour, and ask your lender to model the payment with taxes and insurance included, not just principal and interest.

If you're selling, price based on what closed last month, not what your neighbor listed at last spring.

And if you're staying put, this is a decent moment to renegotiate rent or refinance other debt, because housing supply is loosening even if your budget doesn't feel looser.

The bottom line: rising inventory is a real shift, but it's a slow one, uneven across the country, and easily undone if mortgage rates drop sharply and unleash a wave of pent-up demand.

Buyers finally have room to negotiate — just not as much room as the headlines suggest.

Final Thoughts

Patience and local data will beat national averages every time.

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